allaboutweather (allaboutweather) wrote in weathernerds,

hurricane season

While i posted it on my own journal, perhaps i should post it here too:

Who wants to guess the number of named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes in the atlantic this season? I'll help you guys out a little bit: it's likely going to be below average since sea surface temps in the MDR (main development region) will be at or below average and the current el nino will create more shear in the gulf so conditions will be largely be unfavorable. However, Ana formed off an old frontal boundary in an area of marginal SSTs (27 degrees is the minimum temperature needed for a tropical storm) and low wind shear.

My guess is 7-4-1. Throw out those guesses! :)
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